KONOMEEThe economy, weighted to your concerns.
69Healthy-17 vs last yearLast updated Oct 1, 2026
10/1Mortgage7.36% ↑0.50%•10/1S&P 5007758 ↑88.6•10/1Gas$4.48 ↓0.01•10/110y Treasury5.23% ↑0.24%•9/1Unemployment4.20% ↑0.10%•9/1Avg Earnings$32.6 ↑0.07•9/1Fed Funds3.75% ↑0.12%•9/1Retail Sales$745.0B ↑5.7B•
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Indicators

Inflation

CPI Inflation Rate (YoY)

3.72%
-1.00%1.50%2.50%8.00%
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Core Inflation Rate (CPI ex. Food & Energy, YoY)

2.57%
0.00%1.80%2.50%7.00%
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Labor

Unemployment Rate

4.20%
2.00%3.50%5.00%10.0%
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Average Hourly Earnings

$32.6/hr
$18.0/hr$27.0/hr$40.0/hr$55.0/hr
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Job Openings

7.1K
2.0K5.5K10.5K14.0K
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Housing

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate

7.36%
2.00%3.50%6.50%12.0%
Score: 84/100· +25 pts
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Case-Shiller Home Price Index

333.2
100.0150.0260.0400.0
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Housing Starts

1.3K
400.01.0K1.7K2.5K
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Monetary Policy

Federal Funds Rate

3.75%
0.00%1.50%4.50%10.0%
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10-Year Treasury Yield

5.23%
0.50%2.50%4.50%8.00%
Score: 79/100· +16 pts
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Markets

S&P 500 (monthly avg, YoY)

15.2%
-30.0%4.00%10.0%30.0%
Score: 41/100· +8 pts
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Sentiment

Consumer Sentiment (University of Michigan)

51.7
50.080.0100.0110.0
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Output

Real GDP Growth Rate

2.20%
-8.00%1.50%4.50%10.0%
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Retail Sales

$745.0K
$300.0K$500.0K$800.0K$1.0M
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Industrial Production: Manufacturing

99.4
60.095.0108.0120.0
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Personal Consumption: Services

15.1K
5.0K9.0K14.0K18.0K
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Energy

Regular Gasoline Prices

$4.48/gal
$1.50/gal$2.50/gal$3.75/gal$6.00/gal
Score: 67/100· +20 pts
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