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Monetary PolicyContext dependent

10-Year Treasury Yield

Market yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes. Benchmark for long-term interest rates, mortgage rates, and economic expectations.

Source: FRED


Latest reading
4.46+0.08 vs last year
June 2026
4.46%
0.50%2.50%4.50%8.00%
About this range

10-year yields of 2.5–4.5% reflect a normally functioning Treasury market with positive real returns. Below 2.5% typically signals recession fears or emergency easing; above 4.5% raises borrowing costs broadly and can slow business investment.

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