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OutputHigher is better

Real GDP Growth Rate

Quarter-over-quarter percent change in real Gross Domestic Product. Broadest measure of economic output and growth.

Source: FRED


Latest reading
1.60+2.20 vs last year
March 2026
1.60%
-8.00%1.50%4.50%10.0%
About this range

Growth of 2.0–4.5% is the 'Goldilocks' zone: strong enough to support employment and investment without generating inflationary pressure. Below 2% signals stagnation or recession risk; above 4.5% often precedes overheating.

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